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Medical negligence or medical error ?

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By Prof. Susirith Mendis

Preamble

The newspapers and social media have been full of news during the last few weeks about incidents in hospitals, which led to the death of patients. Obviously, we are aware of such incidents more now than then due to the feverish activity of social media.

The latest was the untimely and unnecessary death of Chamodi Sandeepani, a 21 year-old girl in the Teaching Hospital, Peradeniya. According to the mother of Chamodi, her daughter’s condition deteriorated and her body turned blue after the administration of two medications by a nurse. One of them had been identified as Ceftriaxone (a Cephalosporine antibiotic).

I was also truly disturbed when a very good friend of mine, a consultant anaesthesiologist – a long-time resident of UK, lost his brother, who was a card-carrying patient on his sensitivity to penicillin. He was injected with ‘Augementin’ (a combination drug of amoxicillin and clavulanic acid) in a major private hospital in Colombo and died immediately afterwards. It was alleged that the emergency tray was not readily available at the time of injection. There was hardly a ripple in the media about this incident.

Both these incidents point to anaphylactic shock. Death by anaphylactic shock occurs in all parts of the world – including the best of centres. But that does not mean that many of those were necessarily fatal. Some patients could have been revived with immediate appropriate response and emergency care. Too many incidents have been exposed in recent times about unexpected and untimely deaths of patients in hospitals. Allegations of negligence abound. These incidents must be investigated by independent investigators to ascertain the facts of each of these cases. The manner in which inquiries have been done in the past by the Ministry of Health leaves much to be desired. Most often, the end result is absolving the medical/health professionals and issues swept under the carpet. As in this case of Chamodi, where the inquiry panel is headed none other than by the DGHS – ‘a home and home affair’.

Nonetheless, as a medical professional, a medical teacher for over 40 years and a medical ethicist of some standing within and without our profession, I am most troubled by the responses and reactions I see in social media posted by doctors. There is a uniform response of criticising the victims and a myriad of excuses. There is not even a remote consideration of whether there has been negligence on the part of the medical/health professionals directly involved in the incident. There was a very recent case where a daughter who posted a bitter experience she had at the Nagoda Hospital of indifference and lack of concern and care in a facebook post. She was hounded and harassed by the police on a complaint from the hospital authorities. She was coerced by the Police to delete her post. A case of the combined effect of medical and police muscle.

A more conciliatory and introspective approach by the doctors will in the log run be more fruitful in improving the quality and standards of healthcare in the hospitals. Exuding arrogance, intimidatory self-defence and a mindset of ‘attack is the best form of defence’ is without doubt, counterproductive.My objective in this article is to look at the issues of medical negligence and medical errors in general and how they pertain to our perspective of the recent events that have taken hold of our attention during the last few weeks.

What I will not delve into in this article are the existent economic crisis that has lead to shortage of drugs, inferior drugs imported without due diligence to quality and standards, short-circuiting the due process and regulatory oversight of the National Medicines Regulatory Authority (NMRA) and the role played by the Minister of Health and the Ministry of Health. The last, but importantly, ‘clinician burnout’ due to the difficulties faced by medical and health professionals struggling to provide minimal patient care under dismal supply conditions. Collectively or singularly all of the above have directly or indirectly been responsible for these unfortunate deaths.

My comments herein, are issues related to medical negligence and medical error that are systemic as well as global.Let me start with a comment in a book that happened to catch my eye at the University of Georgetown Medical School Medical Ethics Library over 2 decades ago:

The book was “Examining your doctor: A patient’s guide to avoiding harmful medical care.” by Timothy B. McCall, MD (Carol Publishing Group, New York, 1995). This is the personal experience/confession of a doctor when he was training as a medical student in a University Hospital in te USA.

“My first experience taking care of patients as a medical student changed forever the way I viewed doctors. I was appalled. In the university hospital I was assigned, we treated one patient after another transferred from hospitals where they had received medical care that had nearly killed them. We saved some of them, though many of those we saved ended up disabled. We didn’t tell these patients or their families that they had been victims of poor medical care; we intentionally misled them. Covering up malpractice is just one example of the systematic way that doctors withhold information from their patients.”

Well, that says many things that most doctors in Sri Lanka would refuse to accept or even consider. Their arrogance ensures that they are never wrong. They can ever be wrong.

But, it is ironical that with better technology in healthcare available today, even in Sri Lanka, doctors are more likely to be found negligent. Is this because (i) medical standards have deteriorated? (ii) more doctors are now less skillful? (iii) they are now more careless? (iv) lawyers have realised that there is good money to make from ligigation against doctors? (v) patients have become more aware of their conditions (thanks to the internet) and therefore, more litigious? (vi) Insurance companies are paying good compensation? Or is it a relative permutation and combination of all of the above? I have not seen any serious scientific study done to ascertain the real situation in our country.

Let us now, look at a non-binding classification.

Medcal Negligence

It is an act of commission or omission by a healthcare provider in which care provided deviates from accepted standards of practice in the medical community and causes injury or death to the patient. To establish negligence, it is necessary to first establsih ‘duty of care’. A reasonable, foreseeable and actual loss or injury caused by or materially contributed to by a breach of duty of care will lead to an accusation of negligence.

This can be of two basic types: Criminal Negligence and Medical (or Clinical) Negligence. Criminal negligence is such that the negligence is grave enough for a police investigation and a prosecution by the Attorney General. It can lead to judicial sentencing and even imprisonment. Medical negligence, on the other hand, is a civil procedure, that could lead to damages being awarded by a Court of Law.

But prior to legal measures in a Court of Law, it is possible to pursue a lesser path of ‘pre-litigation’. This entails a departmental inquiry (Ministry of Health) which can lead from warning, transfer, punishment, reporting the the Sri Lanka Medical Council (SLMC) to even dismissal from service. A complaint to the SLMC can lead to periods of temporary suspension of registration. And in extreme instances, to complete erasure from the Medical Register.

There are even less serious avenues in instances where pateinet or their next of kin, can seek redress through a process of ‘conflict resolution’. Mediation is one of them. It has to be a voluntary process. There cannot be coercion on either parties – i.e., the doctors concerned or the patient. The parties meet privately with a neutral mediator who facilitates a negotiated agreement. This then binds the parties to that mutualyy agreed conditions of resolution of the conflict. This could be an unqualified apology to a meagre financial compensation for losses incurred. It is seen as a much more constructive and less adversarial process than conventional litigation. If agreement is not reached, the parties are free to initiate or continue with litigation.

Another non-litigious option for patients is to make a formal complaint to the Parliamentary Commissioner for Administration (better known as the Ombudsman). The present Ombudsman is a former Judge of the High Court of Sri Lanka. The former Secretary-General of Parliament, Sam Wijesinghe was the first – if my memory serves me right.

The positives of a non-litigious process is that it is (i) a non-threatening environment; (ii) it may give an increased sense of ‘fairness’ and justice for doctors; (iii) the legal and other costs are minimal and affordable to most.

The negatives are: (i) Will it give justice to the grievances of patients or their next of kin? (ii) Will the whole process be transparent and devoid of obvious bias? (iii) Will the process retain the confidence of both patients and doctors that justice has been done?

To ensure that the process is transparent and devoid of bias, there would be a need for non-medical or legal representation. Would it not be ideal, as in the Court process of ‘trial by a jury’, to have a committee of inquiry made up of competent civilians?

We, in Sri Lanka have no estimates of negligence. But, if we go by the many anecdotes of serious events of gross negligence we hear, and the number of litigation that have failed in a court f law or settled out of court, they are still a matter of very serious concern.

There are other conditions that I will not dwell at any length here. That is ‘medical misadventure’ where there is error or unexpected outcome during medical intervention leading to serious deleterious effect on patient. This happends most often in surgical and anaesthetic practice. An ‘adverse event’ is defined as an undesirable and unintentional, though not necessarily unexpected, result of medical treatment. Examples of an adverse event is discomfort in an artificial joint that continues after the expected recovery period, painful cheloids developing after open-heart surgery or a chronic headache following a spinal tap.

Medical Error

Medical error has been defined as an unintended act (either of omission or commission) or one that does not achieve its intended outcome; the failure of a planned action to be completed as intended (an error of execution); the use of a wrong plan to achieve an aim (an error of planning); or a deviation from the process of care that may or may not cause harm to the patient. Patient harm from medical error can occur at the individual or system level.

There are many ways that medical care can go wrong. Errors can occur around the administration of medications (including adverse drug events/reactions), during laboratory testing, pathology reports, hospital infections, as a result of surgery or even in documentation or data entry tasks.

Medication error are the leading cause of negligence, error and adverse events. They include; (i) prescribing errors; (ii) failure to prescribe, administer, or dispense a medication; (iii) a patient receiving a medication too late or too early; (iv) a patient receiving a drug not authorized for them; (v) improper use of a medication; (vi) wrong dose prescription or preparation; (vii) administration errors; (viii) failure to take into account a patient’s medical conditions or potential drug interactions; and (ix) not following proper dispensing/prescribing rules for a medication.

“To err is human”

An average of 195,000 people in the USA died due to potentially preventable, in-hospital medical errors in each of the years 2000, 2001 and 2002, according to a study of 37 million patient records. (The Health Grades Patient Safety in American Hospitals study (2000-02).

According to Dr. Lucien Leape, lead the author of a Harvard study, the number of deaths from medical errors in hospitals account for the equivalent to the death toll from three jumbo jet crashes every two days.( Public Health Reports , 1999; 114: 302-317 July/August, 1999).More people die each year in the United States from medical errors than from highway accidents, breast cancer or AIDS, a federal advisory panel has reported.

The report from the National Academy of Sciences’ Institute of Medicine cited studies showing between 44,000 and 98,000 people die each year because of mistakes by medical professionals. “That’s probably an underestimate for two reasons, one is, there are many different kinds of errors we never learn about — even in retrospective studies — because they are never written down. Second, these studies did not include other areas of care like home care, nursing homes and ambulatory care centers.” (Dr. Donald Berwick of the National Academic of Medicine, Washington DC). Medical error is the third leading cause of death in the US according to a BMJ article (BMJ 2016;353:i2139).

Here are some more statistics from the USA. The FDA receives more than 100,000 reports every year that are associated with medication errors (FDA, 2019). Forty-one percent of Americans report having been involved with a medical error either personally or secondhand (Institute for Healthcare Improvement/NORC at the University of Chicago, 2017). More than 7 million patients in the U.S. are impacted by medication errors every year (Journal of Community Hospital Internal Medicine Perspectives, 2016). Ten percent of hospital patients will be subject to a medication error (NCBI, 2019).By 2023, medication errors in the US has been tied to $40 billion in spending and up to 9000 deaths each year.

What about Sri Lanka?

To my knowledge, there are neither records of ‘medical error’ nor surveys or audits done for us to have an understanding, or even estimates, of medical negligence or errors in Sri Lanka. I am open to correction, if there are. The only record I know of is Professor Carlo Fonseka’s seminal article in the BMJ (Volume 313 21-28 December 1996) titled “To Err was Fatal”. In it he writes of five fatal errors he made that caused the death of five patient. I think it is compulsory reading for all doctors who have not yet read it. In it he makes five important and profound observations: (i) All doctors are fallible; (ii) The natural reaction of doctors to errors is to hide them or to rationalise them away; (iii) It is unscientific and unethical to refuse to face our errors; (iv) There is no cathartic ritual in our profession to expiate the sense of guilt generated by our errors; (v) Since knowledge grows mainly by error recognition, facing our errors squarely is the path to medical wisdom.

As Prof. Carlo Fonseka stated, doctors are not infallible, no matter how much patients would like them to be. While doctors’ mistakes are not usually intentional, they are often preventable and typically occur when doctors fail to exercise the proper level of care and skill. Hence, it is not difficult to accept that doctor errors occur more frequently than patients realise. The recent events are the tip of the proverbial iceberg.

Unfortunately, when doctors’ mistakes do happen, the consequences can be disastrous – even fatal. In which direction should we in Sri Lanka tread? The path traced by the West? Or go back to our own traditions and culture? Our social relations are based on the ‘Eastern Philosophical Tradition’. The Sri Lankan social milieu is predominantly based on Buddhist Philosophy – ‘The Four Noble Truths’ and ‘The Eightfold Path’ and the values of Meththa, Karuna, Muditha and Upeksha.

We are ‘serendipitously’ placed. We are a nation where all 4 major religions are practiced. Do we need to follow or abide by the Western medical ethical tradition coming down from Aesclepius and Hippocrates ?

We practice Modern Western Scientific Medicine in a socio-cultural milieu seeped in ancient Eastern traditions. Can we take inspiration from those traditions and synthesise a ‘New Medical ethical tradition’ by bridging this philosophical divide?

Do we have both the creativity and the courage to do so? If we have, we can in all probability avoid the pitfalls that the practice of medicine has fallen in the West (and in particular, the USA).Let these recent unfortunate and possible unavoidable deaths open us as medical professionals to a more humane and humanistic approach to patient care in Sri Lanka.



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The heart-friendly health minister

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Dr. Ramesh Pathirana

by Dr Gotabhya Ranasinghe
Senior Consultant Cardiologist
National Hospital Sri Lanka

When we sought a meeting with Hon Dr. Ramesh Pathirana, Minister of Health, he graciously cleared his busy schedule to accommodate us. Renowned for his attentive listening and deep understanding, Minister Pathirana is dedicated to advancing the health sector. His openness and transparency exemplify the qualities of an exemplary politician and minister.

Dr. Palitha Mahipala, the current Health Secretary, demonstrates both commendable enthusiasm and unwavering support. This combination of attributes makes him a highly compatible colleague for the esteemed Minister of Health.

Our discussion centered on a project that has been in the works for the past 30 years, one that no other minister had managed to advance.

Minister Pathirana, however, recognized the project’s significance and its potential to revolutionize care for heart patients.

The project involves the construction of a state-of-the-art facility at the premises of the National Hospital Colombo. The project’s location within the premises of the National Hospital underscores its importance and relevance to the healthcare infrastructure of the nation.

This facility will include a cardiology building and a tertiary care center, equipped with the latest technology to handle and treat all types of heart-related conditions and surgeries.

Securing funding was a major milestone for this initiative. Minister Pathirana successfully obtained approval for a $40 billion loan from the Asian Development Bank. With the funding in place, the foundation stone is scheduled to be laid in September this year, and construction will begin in January 2025.

This project guarantees a consistent and uninterrupted supply of stents and related medications for heart patients. As a result, patients will have timely access to essential medical supplies during their treatment and recovery. By securing these critical resources, the project aims to enhance patient outcomes, minimize treatment delays, and maintain the highest standards of cardiac care.

Upon its fruition, this monumental building will serve as a beacon of hope and healing, symbolizing the unwavering dedication to improving patient outcomes and fostering a healthier society.We anticipate a future marked by significant progress and positive outcomes in Sri Lanka’s cardiovascular treatment landscape within the foreseeable timeframe.

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A LOVING TRIBUTE TO JESUIT FR. ALOYSIUS PIERIS ON HIS 90th BIRTHDAY

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Fr. Aloysius Pieris, SJ was awarded the prestigious honorary Doctorate of Literature (D.Litt) by the Chancellor of the University of Kelaniya, the Most Venerable Welamitiyawe Dharmakirthi Sri Kusala Dhamma Thera on Nov. 23, 2019.

by Fr. Emmanuel Fernando, OMI

Jesuit Fr. Aloysius Pieris (affectionately called Fr. Aloy) celebrated his 90th birthday on April 9, 2024 and I, as the editor of our Oblate Journal, THE MISSIONARY OBLATE had gone to press by that time. Immediately I decided to publish an article, appreciating the untiring selfless services he continues to offer for inter-Faith dialogue, the renewal of the Catholic Church, his concern for the poor and the suffering Sri Lankan masses and to me, the present writer.

It was in 1988, when I was appointed Director of the Oblate Scholastics at Ampitiya by the then Oblate Provincial Fr. Anselm Silva, that I came to know Fr. Aloy more closely. Knowing well his expertise in matters spiritual, theological, Indological and pastoral, and with the collaborative spirit of my companion-formators, our Oblate Scholastics were sent to Tulana, the Research and Encounter Centre, Kelaniya, of which he is the Founder-Director, for ‘exposure-programmes’ on matters spiritual, biblical, theological and pastoral. Some of these dimensions according to my view and that of my companion-formators, were not available at the National Seminary, Ampitiya.

Ever since that time, our Oblate formators/ accompaniers at the Oblate Scholasticate, Ampitiya , have continued to send our Oblate Scholastics to Tulana Centre for deepening their insights and convictions regarding matters needed to serve the people in today’s context. Fr. Aloy also had tried very enthusiastically with the Oblate team headed by Frs. Oswald Firth and Clement Waidyasekara to begin a Theologate, directed by the Religious Congregations in Sri Lanka, for the contextual formation/ accompaniment of their members. It should very well be a desired goal of the Leaders / Provincials of the Religious Congregations.

Besides being a formator/accompanier at the Oblate Scholasticate, I was entrusted also with the task of editing and publishing our Oblate journal, ‘The Missionary Oblate’. To maintain the quality of the journal I continue to depend on Fr. Aloy for his thought-provoking and stimulating articles on Biblical Spirituality, Biblical Theology and Ecclesiology. I am very grateful to him for his generous assistance. Of late, his writings on renewal of the Church, initiated by Pope St. John XX111 and continued by Pope Francis through the Synodal path, published in our Oblate journal, enable our readers to focus their attention also on the needed renewal in the Catholic Church in Sri Lanka. Fr. Aloy appreciated very much the Synodal path adopted by the Jesuit Pope Francis for the renewal of the Church, rooted very much on prayerful discernment. In my Religious and presbyteral life, Fr.Aloy continues to be my spiritual animator / guide and ongoing formator / acccompanier.

Fr. Aloysius Pieris, BA Hons (Lond), LPh (SHC, India), STL (PFT, Naples), PhD (SLU/VC), ThD (Tilburg), D.Ltt (KU), has been one of the eminent Asian theologians well recognized internationally and one who has lectured and held visiting chairs in many universities both in the West and in the East. Many members of Religious Congregations from Asian countries have benefited from his lectures and guidance in the East Asian Pastoral Institute (EAPI) in Manila, Philippines. He had been a Theologian consulted by the Federation of Asian Bishops’ Conferences for many years. During his professorship at the Gregorian University in Rome, he was called to be a member of a special group of advisers on other religions consulted by Pope Paul VI.

Fr. Aloy is the author of more than 30 books and well over 500 Research Papers. Some of his books and articles have been translated and published in several countries. Among those books, one can find the following: 1) The Genesis of an Asian Theology of Liberation (An Autobiographical Excursus on the Art of Theologising in Asia, 2) An Asian Theology of Liberation, 3) Providential Timeliness of Vatican 11 (a long-overdue halt to a scandalous millennium, 4) Give Vatican 11 a chance, 5) Leadership in the Church, 6) Relishing our faith in working for justice (Themes for study and discussion), 7) A Message meant mainly, not exclusively for Jesuits (Background information necessary for helping Francis renew the Church), 8) Lent in Lanka (Reflections and Resolutions, 9) Love meets wisdom (A Christian Experience of Buddhism, 10) Fire and Water 11) God’s Reign for God’s poor, 12) Our Unhiddden Agenda (How we Jesuits work, pray and form our men). He is also the Editor of two journals, Vagdevi, Journal of Religious Reflection and Dialogue, New Series.

Fr. Aloy has a BA in Pali and Sanskrit from the University of London and a Ph.D in Buddhist Philosophy from the University of Sri Lankan, Vidyodaya Campus. On Nov. 23, 2019, he was awarded the prestigious honorary Doctorate of Literature (D.Litt) by the Chancellor of the University of Kelaniya, the Most Venerable Welamitiyawe Dharmakirthi Sri Kusala Dhamma Thera.

Fr. Aloy continues to be a promoter of Gospel values and virtues. Justice as a constitutive dimension of love and social concern for the downtrodden masses are very much noted in his life and work. He had very much appreciated the commitment of the late Fr. Joseph (Joe) Fernando, the National Director of the Social and Economic Centre (SEDEC) for the poor.

In Sri Lanka, a few religious Congregations – the Good Shepherd Sisters, the Christian Brothers, the Marist Brothers and the Oblates – have invited him to animate their members especially during their Provincial Congresses, Chapters and International Conferences. The mainline Christian Churches also have sought his advice and followed his seminars. I, for one, regret very much, that the Sri Lankan authorities of the Catholic Church –today’s Hierarchy—- have not sought Fr.

Aloy’s expertise for the renewal of the Catholic Church in Sri Lanka and thus have not benefited from the immense store of wisdom and insight that he can offer to our local Church while the Sri Lankan bishops who governed the Catholic church in the immediate aftermath of the Second Vatican Council (Edmund Fernando OMI, Anthony de Saram, Leo Nanayakkara OSB, Frank Marcus Fernando, Paul Perera,) visited him and consulted him on many matters. Among the Tamil Bishops, Bishop Rayappu Joseph was keeping close contact with him and Bishop J. Deogupillai hosted him and his team visiting him after the horrible Black July massacre of Tamils.

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A fairy tale, success or debacle

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Ministers S. Iswaran and Malik Samarawickrama signing the joint statement to launch FTA negotiations. (Picture courtesy IPS)

Sri Lanka-Singapore Free Trade Agreement

By Gomi Senadhira
senadhiragomi@gmail.com

“You might tell fairy tales, but the progress of a country cannot be achieved through such narratives. A country cannot be developed by making false promises. The country moved backward because of the electoral promises made by political parties throughout time. We have witnessed that the ultimate result of this is the country becoming bankrupt. Unfortunately, many segments of the population have not come to realize this yet.” – President Ranil Wickremesinghe, 2024 Budget speech

Any Sri Lankan would agree with the above words of President Wickremesinghe on the false promises our politicians and officials make and the fairy tales they narrate which bankrupted this country. So, to understand this, let’s look at one such fairy tale with lots of false promises; Ranil Wickremesinghe’s greatest achievement in the area of international trade and investment promotion during the Yahapalana period, Sri Lanka-Singapore Free Trade Agreement (SLSFTA).

It is appropriate and timely to do it now as Finance Minister Wickremesinghe has just presented to parliament a bill on the National Policy on Economic Transformation which includes the establishment of an Office for International Trade and the Sri Lanka Institute of Economics and International Trade.

Was SLSFTA a “Cleverly negotiated Free Trade Agreement” as stated by the (former) Minister of Development Strategies and International Trade Malik Samarawickrama during the Parliamentary Debate on the SLSFTA in July 2018, or a colossal blunder covered up with lies, false promises, and fairy tales? After SLSFTA was signed there were a number of fairy tales published on this agreement by the Ministry of Development Strategies and International, Institute of Policy Studies, and others.

However, for this article, I would like to limit my comments to the speech by Minister Samarawickrama during the Parliamentary Debate, and the two most important areas in the agreement which were covered up with lies, fairy tales, and false promises, namely: revenue loss for Sri Lanka and Investment from Singapore. On the other important area, “Waste products dumping” I do not want to comment here as I have written extensively on the issue.

1. The revenue loss

During the Parliamentary Debate in July 2018, Minister Samarawickrama stated “…. let me reiterate that this FTA with Singapore has been very cleverly negotiated by us…. The liberalisation programme under this FTA has been carefully designed to have the least impact on domestic industry and revenue collection. We have included all revenue sensitive items in the negative list of items which will not be subject to removal of tariff. Therefore, 97.8% revenue from Customs duty is protected. Our tariff liberalisation will take place over a period of 12-15 years! In fact, the revenue earned through tariffs on goods imported from Singapore last year was Rs. 35 billion.

The revenue loss for over the next 15 years due to the FTA is only Rs. 733 million– which when annualised, on average, is just Rs. 51 million. That is just 0.14% per year! So anyone who claims the Singapore FTA causes revenue loss to the Government cannot do basic arithmetic! Mr. Speaker, in conclusion, I call on my fellow members of this House – don’t mislead the public with baseless criticism that is not grounded in facts. Don’t look at petty politics and use these issues for your own political survival.”

I was surprised to read the minister’s speech because an article published in January 2018 in “The Straits Times“, based on information released by the Singaporean Negotiators stated, “…. With the FTA, tariff savings for Singapore exports are estimated to hit $10 million annually“.

As the annual tariff savings (that is the revenue loss for Sri Lanka) calculated by the Singaporean Negotiators, Singaporean $ 10 million (Sri Lankan rupees 1,200 million in 2018) was way above the rupees’ 733 million revenue loss for 15 years estimated by the Sri Lankan negotiators, it was clear to any observer that one of the parties to the agreement had not done the basic arithmetic!

Six years later, according to a report published by “The Morning” newspaper, speaking at the Committee on Public Finance (COPF) on 7th May 2024, Mr Samarawickrama’s chief trade negotiator K.J. Weerasinghehad had admitted “…. that forecasted revenue loss for the Government of Sri Lanka through the Singapore FTA is Rs. 450 million in 2023 and Rs. 1.3 billion in 2024.”

If these numbers are correct, as tariff liberalisation under the SLSFTA has just started, we will pass Rs 2 billion very soon. Then, the question is how Sri Lanka’s trade negotiators made such a colossal blunder. Didn’t they do their basic arithmetic? If they didn’t know how to do basic arithmetic they should have at least done their basic readings. For example, the headline of the article published in The Straits Times in January 2018 was “Singapore, Sri Lanka sign FTA, annual savings of $10m expected”.

Anyway, as Sri Lanka’s chief negotiator reiterated at the COPF meeting that “…. since 99% of the tariffs in Singapore have zero rates of duty, Sri Lanka has agreed on 80% tariff liberalisation over a period of 15 years while expecting Singapore investments to address the imbalance in trade,” let’s turn towards investment.

Investment from Singapore

In July 2018, speaking during the Parliamentary Debate on the FTA this is what Minister Malik Samarawickrama stated on investment from Singapore, “Already, thanks to this FTA, in just the past two-and-a-half months since the agreement came into effect we have received a proposal from Singapore for investment amounting to $ 14.8 billion in an oil refinery for export of petroleum products. In addition, we have proposals for a steel manufacturing plant for exports ($ 1 billion investment), flour milling plant ($ 50 million), sugar refinery ($ 200 million). This adds up to more than $ 16.05 billion in the pipeline on these projects alone.

And all of these projects will create thousands of more jobs for our people. In principle approval has already been granted by the BOI and the investors are awaiting the release of land the environmental approvals to commence the project.

I request the Opposition and those with vested interests to change their narrow-minded thinking and join us to develop our country. We must always look at what is best for the whole community, not just the few who may oppose. We owe it to our people to courageously take decisions that will change their lives for the better.”

According to the media report I quoted earlier, speaking at the Committee on Public Finance (COPF) Chief Negotiator Weerasinghe has admitted that Sri Lanka was not happy with overall Singapore investments that have come in the past few years in return for the trade liberalisation under the Singapore-Sri Lanka Free Trade Agreement. He has added that between 2021 and 2023 the total investment from Singapore had been around $162 million!

What happened to those projects worth $16 billion negotiated, thanks to the SLSFTA, in just the two-and-a-half months after the agreement came into effect and approved by the BOI? I do not know about the steel manufacturing plant for exports ($ 1 billion investment), flour milling plant ($ 50 million) and sugar refinery ($ 200 million).

However, story of the multibillion-dollar investment in the Petroleum Refinery unfolded in a manner that would qualify it as the best fairy tale with false promises presented by our politicians and the officials, prior to 2019 elections.

Though many Sri Lankans got to know, through the media which repeatedly highlighted a plethora of issues surrounding the project and the questionable credentials of the Singaporean investor, the construction work on the Mirrijiwela Oil Refinery along with the cement factory began on the24th of March 2019 with a bang and Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe and his ministers along with the foreign and local dignitaries laid the foundation stones.

That was few months before the 2019 Presidential elections. Inaugurating the construction work Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe said the projects will create thousands of job opportunities in the area and surrounding districts.

The oil refinery, which was to be built over 200 acres of land, with the capacity to refine 200,000 barrels of crude oil per day, was to generate US$7 billion of exports and create 1,500 direct and 3,000 indirect jobs. The construction of the refinery was to be completed in 44 months. Four years later, in August 2023 the Cabinet of Ministers approved the proposal presented by President Ranil Wickremesinghe to cancel the agreement with the investors of the refinery as the project has not been implemented! Can they explain to the country how much money was wasted to produce that fairy tale?

It is obvious that the President, ministers, and officials had made huge blunders and had deliberately misled the public and the parliament on the revenue loss and potential investment from SLSFTA with fairy tales and false promises.

As the president himself said, a country cannot be developed by making false promises or with fairy tales and these false promises and fairy tales had bankrupted the country. “Unfortunately, many segments of the population have not come to realize this yet”.

(The writer, a specialist and an activist on trade and development issues . )

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