Editorial
Basil’s Sirasa interview riddle
Days after Basil Rajapaksa’s return to Sri Lanka after his sojourn in the U.S. where he enjoys citizenship, the Sri Lanka Podu Jana Peramuna’s national organizer figured in a television talk show. Here he clearly expressed the opinion that Ranil Wickremesinghe is the best man to take this country forward but did not indicate whether it was a personal viewpoint or that of the SLPP. Nor did he say his party would back RW’s candidature. He also said that preferably, the parliamentary election that is due next year should precede the presidential election that is constitutionally mandated to be held this year. A simple majority in Parliament, which the SLPP still commands, makes that possible.
With the ongoing election buzz it is inevitable that Rajapaksa’s latest statements attracted national attention. The presidential election is constitutionally mandated to be held between September and October this year. Although Wickremesinghe has not yet personally declared his candidature, all signs thus far are that he will be running. Many of his intimates like former finance minister Ravi Karunanayake are clearly on record that RW will be a candidate. Other UNP functionaries have also said as much.
It’s only days since a member of the green the inner circle, Akila Viraj Kariyawasam, assistant leader of the UNP, organized in his home base of Kuliyapitiya what looked like the president’s election campaign launch where RW himself was present. Also Ronald Perera, touted to be the president’s campaign manager, resigned his position as chairman of the Bank of Ceylon although he continues to wear the hat of Insurance Corporation chairman.
During his talk show appearance, Basil Rajapaksa declared that RW has the required qualities to lead the nation. But on the flip side, the UNP lacked the voter support and organizational capability to win an election. According to the pink bush shirt clad and slipper-wearing Basil, only his own party and the JVP/NPP had countrywide organizations while only the SLPP and Sajith Premadasa’s SJB had people’s support. Thus his own party had two of the required qualifications, he said, implying that they lacked the right leader to carry the country forward.
Basil admitted that while his party had held the two top slots, the presidency and the prime ministry, they had failed to do the needful for the benefit of the nation. He conveniently claimed that the SLPP had “sacrificed” these positions for the sake of the country without admitting the Rajapaksas were forced to flee by the forces unleashed by the aragalaya. Rajapaksa opined that the three necessary qualifications, organizational strength, people’s support and leadership ability should combine to select the next leader. Strangely BR does not seem to believe that the JVP/NPP commands the widely perceived public support which in his view remains with the SLPP and the SJB.
There will, no doubt, be buyers for his argument that holding a presidential election first followed by a parliamentary election will benefit the winner of the first contest. The pithy Sinhala idiom vaasi paththata hoiya or hurrah for the winning side says it all. The political parties know this very well. That is why the UNP, entrenched in power since independence chose three day elections with counting after each day’s voting so that strong candidates may be fielded on the first day, the not so strong on the second and the weak candidates on the last day. But the SWRD Bandaranaike wave whacked that logic for a six with the comfortable enthronement of a so-called people’s government. But in terms of the percentage of national votes polled, the greens did not do as badly as the seat count in parliament indicated.
Basil also rightly said that the concentration of too much power in too few hands is undesirable. Checks and balances are necessary factors in the equation. JR Jayewardene mistakenly believed that proportional representation (PR) replacing the previous Westminster-style first past the post elections will prevent landslides such as 1956, 1970 and 1977. But this did not happen as planned. Remember the last election where the UNP was reduced to zero elected seats and its leader had to belatedly limp into parliament on his party’s single national list slot. Yet the near impossible happened with the gods smiling down on Ranil Wickremesinghe. The country is now looking for a mix of first past the post and PR but whether any such arrangement will be possible before parliamentary elections next year will remain an open question.
The SLPP’s grouse that they do not have enough ministers in the RW government prevails. Basil complained that there are several provinces from which his party has no ministers to work for the people. Wickremesinghe, under pressure of public opinion, refused to cave into SLPP demands for expanding the cabinet. What Basil and Mahinda Rajapaksa discussed with President Wickremesinghe a few days ago is not in the public domain save for some speculative reports.
While Ministers like Harin Fernando are talking of cards up their sleeves to be played in May, it is hard to conceive the possibility of a RW-SLPP-SJB alliance to take on the JVP/NPP as a common force. Basil Rajapaksa’s Face to Face interview with Sirasa threw up many riddles for which the answers should be forthcoming in the coming weeks. But one thing is certain. Nearly all incumbent MPs will be driven by self-interest of returning to parliment.
Saturday 8th June, 2024
It was with shock and dismay that we received the news about death threats to COPF (Committee on Public Finance) Chairman Dr. Harsha de Silva over the ongoing parliamentary probe into the on-arrival visa scam. Dr. de Silva yesterday told Speaker Mahinda Yapa Abeywardena, in Parliament, that he was facing death threats and intimidation, and it was incumbent upon Parliament to ensure his safety. He stopped short of naming names, but revealed that some ruling party MPs were among those who had ganged up against him. The Speaker only said there had been no complaint, and he would look into the matter.
The SLPP-UNP government has been doing everything in its power to have all parliamentary committees under its thumb. The COPE (Committee on Public Enterprises), which once helped restore public faith in the legislature by exposing state sector corruption, has now become a mere appendage of the incumbent regime, thanks to the appointment of SLPP MP Rohitha Abeygunawardena as its Chairman. The SLPP-UNP combine also tried to oust COPF Chairman Dr. de Silva, but in vain. However, it knows more than one way to shoe a horse.
The COPF, under Dr. de Silva’s chairmanship, has been a thorn in the side of the government, which is struggling to cover up numerous corrupt deals. Dr. de Silva yesterday told Parliament that he found it extremely difficult to function as the COPF head due to severe resource constraints his committee was facing; he himself had to pay the salaries of some of his staff members besides burning the midnight oil.
The sheer workload he had to cope with as the COPF chief had taken its toll on his health, he said, informing the Speaker that he was at the end of his tether, and at times thought of resigning from the COPF. This is exactly what the government wants him to do; resource squeezes and threats are aimed at making him quit.
On 26 May, Dr. de Silva revealed, in an ‘X’ post, that the COPF had uncovered some vital information about the visa scam and it would reveal everything after its final meeting on the issue; the COPF was committed to exposing the truth behind the controversial tender, he added. In an editorial comment on 27 May, we warned him.
While thanking him for his bold stand, we pointed out that by making such a statement, he had thrown caution to the wind, and become a marked target, with the government making an all-out effort to delay the COPF investigation lest the truth should come out much to the detriment of its interests in this election year. Unfortunately, what was feared has come about; Dr. de Silva is complaining of death threats and government moves to strangulate the COPF financially to derail its investigations.
Dr. de Silva’s predicament exemplifies the fate that befalls the few good men and women in Parliament. It is hoped that all those who seek an end to the state sector corruption will rally behind Dr. de Silva, and bring pressure to bear on the government to ensure his safety. Let Dr. de Silva be urged to reveal the names of those who have issued threats, veiled or otherwise, to him and are trying to scuttle the COPF probes.
Friday 7th June, 2024
The SLPP-UNP government is going hell for leather to make bad laws as if there were no tomorrow. It is abusing its parliamentary majority, which has been retained with the help of some crossovers, for that purpose. The Opposition, the media and trade unions are up in arms, and understandably so. The incumbent regime is a dead man walking; it is so desperate that it is capable of anything. Hence the need for it to be restrained.
The Electricity (Amendment) Bill (EAB) plunged Parliament into turmoil yesterday, but the government secured its passage. The Supreme Court (SC) determined the entire EAB inconsistent with the Constitution and recommended changes thereto. After unveiling the Bill, sometime ago, Minister of Power and Energy Kanchana Wijesekera hailed it as an excellent piece of legislation aimed at straightening up the power sector to serve the public interest better.
The SC determination left him with egg on his face. He reminded us of the proverbial curate who, while eating a stale egg, assured his host, a Bishop, that parts of it were excellent. Wijesekera’s egg, as it were, made Parliament stink yesterday, but he sought to please his masters by praising it as a silver bullet.
EAB should have been discarded and a new one drafted in consultation with all stakeholders. But the government is apparently driven by an ulterior motive; its aim is not to serve Sri Lanka’s interests but to look after those of some moneybags.
It is not uncommon for Bills to contain some flaws, which are rectified either before or during the committee stage. But there is something terribly wrong with draft Bills that are full of sections inconsistent with the Constitution. The drafters of EAB have demonstrated their sheer ignorance of the supreme law, and that they are not equal to the task of drafting Bills. If they had read the Constitution at least perfunctorily, they would not have drafted such a bad law.
Ignorant and incompetent, they do not deserve to be paid with public funds and must be sent back to law school. They must be summoned before Parliament and questioned on their serious lapses, which have caused public faith in the national legislature to diminish.
Curiously, the MPs who demand that judges, doctors, Central Bankers, and other public officials be summoned before Parliament have taken badly drafted Bills for granted. The power sector trade unions yesterday alleged that EAB was of Indian origin and geared towards furthering the interests of Adani Group at the expense of Sri Lanka.
Most critics of EAB are agreeable in principle to the need for power sector reforms; the Ceylon Electricity Board should be given a radical shake-up, and transformed into a modern organisation capable of providing a better service at a lower cost. They only asked the government to tread cautiously, consulting all stakeholders and taking action to ensure that the country’s interests prevailed over everything else. But the government was in a mighty hurry to steamroller the Bill through Parliament, making the Opposition ask whether it was doing so at the behest of some external forces involved in controversial power generation deals here.
What is passed by the current Parliament can be either amended or abolished by a future parliament in a constitutionally prescribed manner. But that does not mean that a government is free to pass bad laws, making the country enter into long-term agreements with powerful nations and their investors. It looks as if the SLPP-UNP regime did not care two hoots about the consequences of its actions.
Thursday 6th June, 2024
The outcome of India’s parliamentary election (2024) has led to a ‘perspective ambiguity’. Prime Minister Narendra Modi lost no time in declaring victory for the BJP-led NDA alliance, which secured 293 seats in the 543-member Parliament, but he must be a worried man. The BJP is short of 32 seats to form a government under its own steam; it has lost 63 seats or about 20% of its parliamentary strength. It had 303 seats in the previous Parliament, and that number has dropped to 240.
Modi has become the second Indian Prime Minister to win a third term. The first PM to do so was Jawaharlal Nehru. But Nehru won an outright majority in Parliament in 1962; Modi has had to depend on smaller parties in his alliance to retain his hold on power. Modi must be reeling from a sharp drop in his victory margin in his own constituency, Varanasi; it has decreased to 152,000 from 480,000 in 2019 whereas Modi’s bete noire, Rahul Gandhi, won Raebareli by a staggering 390,000 votes.
Modi, who reigned supreme with 303 seats in the previous Parliament, is now dependent on parties such as Nitish Kumar’s JD-U and Chandrababu Naidu’s TDP to form a government. He has had to lead an alliance of strange bedfellows. Both Kumar and Naidu were bitter critics of Modi. Kumar helped form the oppositional alliance, the INDIA bloc, before switching his allegiance to PM Modi. Naidu also closed ranks with the BJP in the run-up to the election. These politicians have been described as extremely ambitious and highly unpredictable, and whether Modi will be able to manage them and consolidate his grip on the NDA alliance remains to be seen. They will demand plum ministerial posts in return for their support. The TDP is said to be eyeing Transport and Health portfolios! That is the name of the game in coalition politics, where it is not uncommon for the tail to wag the dog, so to speak. These two political leaders are however not the only problem Modi will have to contend with. The next five years will feel like an eternity for PM Modi.
Nothing would have been more shocking for the BJP than its defeat in Uttar Pradesh’s Faizabad constituency, where the Ram Mandir has been built. Modi may have thought he would be able to win the Lok Sabha election hands down after the consecration of that temple, which became a centrepiece of the BJP’s election campaign. The BJP lost that seat to the Samajwadi Party! Modi must be disappointed that the Ram Mandir hype failed to trigger a massive wave of support for his party. This particular defeat signifies a massive setback for the BJP’s ethno-religious agenda.
Modi’s divisive election campaign failed to yield the desired result. The BJP’s failure to secure an outright majority could be attributed to a host of factors, some of them being the suppression of the Opposition, the arrogance of power, chronic unemployment, and the rising cost of living. The BJP also did not care to reimage itself in a positive light to attract the youth.
Modi will hereafter see the Congress-led INDIA bloc with 223 seats, in his rearview mirror. The Congress (99 seats) and its allies have eaten into the BJP support base considerably, but they have a long way to go before being able to capture power.
The bumpy ride ahead for the BJP-led coalition government to be formed may improve the INDIA bloc’s chances of bettering their electoral performance and turning the tables on the BJP and its allies in time to come. Modi will have a lot to worry about in his third term.
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